Thursday, May 17, 2007

Mitt Leads In Iowa & Widens Lead In New Hampshire

New Hampshire (May 16)
Romney 35%
McCain 19%
Giuliani 19%
Thompson 6%

Iowa (May 15)
Romney 19%
McCain 18%
Giuliani 18%
Thompson 9%

Zogby Analysis. . . .

Republican Mitt Romney has made an explosive leap ahead of his competitors in the first primary state of New Hampshire, jumping up to 35% support from 25% just a month ago, and leaving other top competitors John McCain, the senator from Arizona, and former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani, in the dust, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows.

The poll, conducted May 15 and 16, 2007, included 500 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters and 503 likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters. The margin of error for each survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Romney, who also shows a small lead in Zogby International's latest poll in Iowa, leads the GOP field in New Hampshire with 35%, and distances himself from McCain and Giuliani who are tied at 19% support. While Romney has surged ahead 10 points since Zogby's April poll in New Hampshire, McCain has seen his support decrease from 25%, and Giuliani holds steady at 19% -- the same level of support he received in last month's poll.

Pollster John Zogby: For Romney, this is a good couple of weeks. The real news is his significant gains in support in both Iowa, which we came out with yesterday, and now New Hampshire. He clearly already has the three M's : Media, Money and Momentum. For critics, who will poo-poo his lead in neighboring New Hampshire, he has actually widened his lead against two party icons, one of whom, Giuliani has stayed static since January, and the other, McCain, who has declined.

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