Friday, January 4, 2008

Message from Sen. Kyrillos: New Poll in NH Romney Takes Back Lead

A Message From Senator Joe Kyrillos

Dear Friends,

Please see the article below from As you can see, tracking polls -- such as the 7NEWS/Suffolk University poll, completed before last night's Iowa caucuses -- continue to show Governor Romney leading in New Hampshire.

With best wishes,

Joe Kyrillos

Tracking Poll: Clinton, Romney Hold Leads in New Hampshire
Another New Hampshire tracking poll -- this one from 7NEWS/Suffolk University -- finds slightly different results than the Reuters/Zogby tracking poll we noted earlier. The poll was also completed before last night's iowa caucuses, so it's a good baseline to see how those results may impact next Tuesday's primary races.

For Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton is ahead of her rivals with 37% support, followed by Sen. Barack Obama at 25% and John Edwards at 15%.

For Republicans, Mitt Romney leads with 29%, followed by Sen. John McCain at 25%, Mike Huckabee at 13% and Rudy Giuliani at 9%.

Meanwhile, Political Wire has learned that yet another tracking poll from American Research Group will also be coming soon.

Jan. 4, 2008
Romney Takes Back Lead from McCain in NH GOP Primary;
Clinton Holding Off Obama in Dem. Primary
7NEWS/Suffolk University Tracking Poll

MANCHESTER, NH – With the New Hampshire Presidential Primaries just
four days away, Mitt Romney has taken back the lead from John McCain
in the Republican Primary, while Hillary Clinton maintains her lead
over Iowa Caucus Democratic winner Barack Obama, according to a
7NEWS/Suffolk University poll released today.

In the Republican Primary, Romney (29 percent) led McCain (25
percent), while Iowa Caucus Republican winner Mike Huckabee (13
percent) continued to gain ground. Candidates remaining static were
Rudy Giuliani (9 percent), Ron Paul (8 percent), Fred Thompson (2
percent) and Duncan Hunter (1 percent). Twelve percent were
undecided. Giuliani's numbers have either declined or stayed the same
in eight consecutive polls, from a high of 37 percent in March 2007 to
9 percent as of Jan. 4, 2008.

Daily Difference
January 4 January 3 Percent Change
Mitt Romney 29 percent 25 percent +4
John McCain 25 percent 29 percent - 4
Mike Huckabee 13 percent 12 percent +1
Rudy Giuliani 9 percent 9 percent No Change

"Romney knows where his strengths are, and now he's doing something
about his weaknesses," said Suffolk University Political Research
Center Director David Paleologos. "He's essentially erased McCain's
advantage among older voters, and the focus of that constituency is
smart politics. Historically, older folks are the most reliable voting
block; they turn out."

Romney is now challenging what had formerly been McCain's stronghold
of older voters (ages 65+). Romney still trails McCain 35
percent-to-33 percent but has made significant gains. Another 16
percent is undecided and up for grabs. In addition, Romney's advance
can be attributed to very strong support among young women ages 18-45
years, where Romney now leads McCain 34 percent-to-20 percent.
Huckabee also is polling 20 percent in this category.

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